Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.9¢
- Implied chance
- 4.9%
- Return if right
- 1940.8%
- Spread cost
- 44%
If you put in $100
You get 2040.8 shares at 4.9¢ each.
YES wins: $2040.82 back, a profit of $1940.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1530.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $3471.43.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.3¢
- Implied chance
- 99.3%
- Return if right
- 0.7%
- Spread cost
- 76%
If you put in $100
You get 100.7 shares at 99.3¢ each.
NO wins: $100.70 back, a profit of $0.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 25, 03:29 PM7 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Donald Trump courts Xi Jinping during high-profile White House visitFrance 24 · 7h ago
- Donald Trump adds political stakes, anticipation and potential sideline chaos to Texas-Tennessee showdownFox News · 21h ago
- Donald Trump hosts Xi Jinping for state dinner with tech titansDeutsche Welle · 1d ago
- Donald Trump hosts Xi Jinping for state dinner with tech titans. Follow live.Deutsche Welle · 1d ago
- Donald Trump startled by the sound of a fighter jetFrance 24 · 1d ago
- Donald Trump welcomes China's Xi Jinping to Washington with a rare tarmac greeting at Joint Base Andrews. Follow live.Deutsche Welle · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Donald Trump be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential n…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the first individual to be formally nominated by the Republican Party for Vice President of the United States in the 2028 presidential election cycle who accepts the nomination. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official GOP sources, including https://www.gop.com. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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