Will Svetlana Čulkova be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.0¢
- Implied chance
- 1.0%
- Return if right
- 9900.0%
- Spread cost
- 35%
If you put in $100
You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.
YES wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5384.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $15284.62.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 54%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.65.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Svetlana Čulkova0.7%
- Andris Kulbergs89.0%
- Viktors Valainis2.6%
- Ilze Indriksone1.4%
- Jūlija Stepaņenko4.3%
- Andris Šuvajevs2.9%
Latest: Sep 24, 03:45 AM2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Latvia’s president warns that Europe is not up to date with drone and aerial warfare in UkraineThe Guardian · 5d ago
- Latvia bars NHL's Ovechkin, Trump Jr. wedding benefactor from entering countryThe Hill · 6d ago
- NATO jets shoot down drone over LatviaDeutsche Welle · 1mo ago
- NATO jets shoot down drone flying over eastern LatviaFrance 24 · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Svetlana Čulkova be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- Will Andris Šuvajevs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- Will Ilze Indriksone be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- Will Viktors Valainis be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?
- Will Arvils Ašeradens be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?