Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 03:02 PM9 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Meta Unveils VR Glasses for $1,299, Promises 3D Films From Lionsgate, James Cameron and Enhanced Versions of ‘Avengers’ and ‘Star Wars’Variety · 4h ago
- George Lucas Says He Was Going to Make 3 More ‘Star Wars’ Movies But “Decided to Retire” From DirectingThe Hollywood Reporter · 2d ago
- George Lucas Says He Had Three More ‘Star Wars’ Movies to Make but ‘Decided to Retire’ From Directing InsteadVariety · 2d ago
- ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Overtakes ‘Star Wars: Force Awakens’ as Highest-Grossing Movie of All Time at Domestic Box OfficeVariety · 8d ago
- World Series MVP, 'Star Wars' actress share Hallmark-movie love story after over 20 years of marriageFox News · 8d ago
- ‘Star Wars’ Heads to Imax 70mm for First Time With ‘Starfighter’ and ‘A New Hope’ 50th Anniversary Re-ReleaseVariety · 16d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossin…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
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