Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 52.0¢
- Implied chance
- 52.0%
- Return if right
- 92.3%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 192.3 shares at 52.0¢ each.
YES wins: $192.31 back, a profit of $92.31. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $98.02.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 51.0¢
- Implied chance
- 51.0%
- Return if right
- 96.1%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 196.1 shares at 51.0¢ each.
NO wins: $196.08 back, a profit of $96.08. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $102.02.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 06:23 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Filmmaker Destin Daniel Cretton Signs Overall Deal with Sony Pictures (Exclusive)The Hollywood Reporter · 2d ago
- ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Hits No. 1 on All-Time Domestic Chart, Topping ‘Force Awakens’The Hollywood Reporter · 8d ago
- ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Overtakes ‘Star Wars: Force Awakens’ as Highest-Grossing Movie of All Time at Domestic Box OfficeVariety · 8d ago
- Box Office: ‘Practical Magic 2’ Conjures Up $13 Million on Friday as ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Nears All-Time Domestic Box Office RecordVariety · 12d ago
- ‘Hawaii Five-O’ Movie in the Works From ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Director Destin Daniel CrettonVariety · 14d ago
- Box Office: ‘Practical Magic 2’ Aims to Dethrone ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ With $40 Million DebutVariety · 15d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic openin…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.