Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.2¢
- Implied chance
- 0.2%
- Return if right
- 49900.0%
- Spread cost
- 25%
If you put in $100
You get 50000.0 shares at 0.2¢ each.
YES wins: $50000.00 back, a profit of $49900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $66566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 5, 05:07 AM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Rocket Report: SpaceX completes launch triple-header; Rocket Lab nets big contractArs Technica · 3d ago
- SpaceX flight led by first black female commander sets US speed recordSky News · 3d ago
- SpaceX Crew 13 docking at International Space StationCBS News · 3d ago
- Astronaut aboard SpaceX rocket has pregnant wife at home: "Making a sacrifice"CBS News · 3d ago
- ‘An amazing ride’: SpaceX flight led by first Black female commander sets US speed recordThe Guardian · 3d ago
- Details on international crew aboard SpaceX rocket headed to ISSCBS News · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by ma…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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