Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Q: Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 6%. A YES share costs 5.8¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1624.1% over 27d.

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?$5k liquidity$559 volumecloses 27d

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 5.8¢
Implied chance: 5.8%
Return if right: 1624.1%
Spread cost: 40%

If you put in $100

You get 1724.1 shares at 5.8¢ each.

YES wins: $1724.14 back, a profit of $1624.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1092.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $2716.90.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.7¢
Implied chance: 98.7%
Return if right: 1.3%
Spread cost: 64%

If you put in $100

You get 101.3 shares at 98.7¢ each.

NO wins: $101.32 back, a profit of $1.32. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.36 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.68.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Oct 5, 05:52 AM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.