Will South African inflation be between 3.2% and 3.5% in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.3¢
- Implied chance
- 4.3%
- Return if right
- 2225.6%
- Spread cost
- 29%
If you put in $100
You get 2325.6 shares at 4.3¢ each.
YES wins: $2325.58 back, a profit of $2225.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $900.23 of that profit. Without it you would make $3125.81.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.1¢
- Implied chance
- 98.1%
- Return if right
- 1.9%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 101.9 shares at 98.1¢ each.
NO wins: $101.94 back, a profit of $1.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.20.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 14, 12:04 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted2 further outcomes not shown
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How this market resolves
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Other outcomes in South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
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