Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.3¢
- Implied chance
- 2.3%
- Return if right
- 4247.8%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 4347.8 shares at 2.3¢ each.
YES wins: $4347.83 back, a profit of $4247.83. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $303.34 of that profit. Without it you would make $4551.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.20.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 06:35 PM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Dodgers place Shohei Ohtani on injured list ahead of push for third straight World Series titleFox News · 14d ago
- No, the Dodgers didn't sign Shohei Ohtani or build a superteam because of Mark Walter's loansFox News · 1mo ago
- Could Shohei Ohtani leave the Los Angeles Dodgers if Mark Walter sells the team after Lakers deal?Fox News · 1mo ago
- California Will Never Tax a Dime of Shohei Ohtani’s $680 Million. The Federal Law He’s Counting On Also Protects Your 401(k) the Day You Retire Across State LinesYahoo Finance · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron A…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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