Will Sergio Meneguelli win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.0¢
- Implied chance
- 9.0%
- Return if right
- 1011.1%
- Spread cost
- 47%
If you put in $100
You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $888.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $1900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 81%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.26.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Sergio Meneguelli5.0%
- Renato Casagrande79.5%
- Rose de Freitas3.5%
- Rodney Miranda12.0%
- Marcos do Val8.0%
- Professor Fabian7.5%
Latest: Aug 18, 05:22 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Sergio Meneguelli win the most votes in the 2026 Espíri…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Other outcomes in Espírito Santo Senate Election: 1st Place
- Will Evair de Melo win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
- Will Rose de Freitas win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
- Will Leonardo Monjardim win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
- Will Rodney Miranda win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
- Will Maguinha Malta win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
- Will Callegari win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
- Will Marcos do Val win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
- Will Renato Casagrande win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
- Will Professor Fabian win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
- Will Fabiano Contarato win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?