Will Sabina Ćudić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Q: Will Sabina Ćudić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Prediction markets currently price this at 0%. A YES share costs 0.2¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 49900.0% over 1.9y.

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?$9k liquidity$787 volumecloses 1.9y

BosniaPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal ElectionsBosnia and Herzegovina

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 0.2¢
Implied chance: 0.2%
Return if right: 49900.0%
Spread cost: 25%

If you put in $100

You get 50000.0 shares at 0.2¢ each.

YES wins: $50000.00 back, a profit of $49900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $66566.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.9¢
Implied chance: 99.9%
Return if right: 0.1%
Spread cost: 33%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.15.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 11:04 AM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted2 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Sabina Ćudić be the next Chairman of the Council of Min…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.