Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.7¢
- Implied chance
- 1.7%
- Return if right
- 5782.4%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 5882.4 shares at 1.7¢ each.
YES wins: $5882.35 back, a profit of $5782.35. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $367.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $6150.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.5¢
- Implied chance
- 98.5%
- Return if right
- 1.5%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 101.5 shares at 98.5¢ each.
NO wins: $101.52 back, a profit of $1.52. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.63.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- How a Counterintelligence Inquiry Into Trump’s Russia Ties Was DerailedThe New York Times · 12m ago
- Russia bars only party opposing war in Ukraine from parliamentary voteAl Jazeera · 1h ago
- Russia bars only anti-war party from electionsFrance 24 · 3h ago
- Russia bars only anti-war party 'Yabloko' from September parliamentary electionsFrance 24 · 3h ago
- ‘They need each other’: What’s behind the new Syria-Russia accord?Al Jazeera · 5h ago
- US intelligence ‘believes Russia was behind Leipzig airport drone bomb’The Guardian · 5h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.