Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.4¢
- Implied chance
- 2.4%
- Return if right
- 4066.7%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 4166.7 shares at 2.4¢ each.
YES wins: $4166.67 back, a profit of $4066.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $88.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $4155.32.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.7¢
- Implied chance
- 97.7%
- Return if right
- 2.4%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 102.4 shares at 97.7¢ each.
NO wins: $102.35 back, a profit of $2.35. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.41.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Russia could attack a NATO country within months, Danish intelligence warnsSky News · 3h ago
- Russia could attack a Nato country within months, Danish intelligence saysThe Guardian · 4h ago
- Penguins forward Andrei Kuzmenko's father killed in bear attack on remote Russia fishing tripFox News · 6h ago
- Senate Republican: Iranian leaders 'part of a colony of reptiles' that also includes China, Russia, North KoreaThe Hill · 7h ago
- Russia attacks Ukraine while Zelenskyy speaks at UNGAAl Jazeera · 9h ago
- Europe Warns of Russia’s Hybrid Attacks but Struggles to Counter ThemThe New York Times · 11h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.