Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 25.0¢
- Implied chance
- 25.0%
- Return if right
- 300.0%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 400.0 shares at 25.0¢ each.
YES wins: $400.00 back, a profit of $300.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $316.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 77.0¢
- Implied chance
- 77.0%
- Return if right
- 29.9%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 129.9 shares at 77.0¢ each.
NO wins: $129.87 back, a profit of $29.87. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $31.58.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 6, 06:50 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Fuel from South Korea being shipped to Russia as Ukraine war grinds onThe Guardian · 8h ago
- Macron slams Russia’s ‘irresponsible’ strikes on Ukraine’s civilian infrastructureFrance 24 · 17h ago
- Ukraine says attacks knocked out over half of Russia's oil refining capacityABC News · 21h ago
- Russia may be using hidden 'lunchbox-size' drone devices to counter Ukraine defenses: expertFox News · 1d ago
- Ukraine ready for US-backed talks with Russia: ZelenskyyAl Jazeera · 2d ago
- Japan adds Garantex to list of Russia sanctions over Ukraine warCointelegraph · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by Octob…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?