Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?

• Fuel from South Korea being shipped to Russia as Ukraine war grinds onThe Guardian · 6h ago
• Macron slams Russia’s ‘irresponsible’ strikes on Ukraine’s civilian infrastructureFrance 24 · 16h ago
• Ukraine says attacks knocked out over half of Russia's oil refining capacityABC News · 20h ago
• Russia may be using hidden 'lunchbox-size' drone devices to counter Ukraine defenses: expertFox News · 1d ago
• Ukraine ready for US-backed talks with Russia: ZelenskyyAl Jazeera · 2d ago
• Japan adds Garantex to list of Russia sanctions over Ukraine warCointelegraph · 2d ago

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.