Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.4¢
- Implied chance
- 0.4%
- Return if right
- 24900.0%
- Spread cost
- 38%
If you put in $100
You get 25000.0 shares at 0.4¢ each.
YES wins: $25000.00 back, a profit of $24900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $15000.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $39900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 60%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Risk It All – Bruno Mars0.3%
- Man I Need – Olivia Dean70.5%
- Earrings – Malcom Todd17.0%
- Billie Jean – Michael Jackson0.3%
Latest: Aug 30, 06:32 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- I'm a Mortgage Advisor: 4 Homebuying Risks Gen Z Should Avoid for the Next YearYahoo Finance · 2h ago
- Pointed! Bloomberg's Weekly News Quiz For Risk-TakersBloomberg · 3h ago
- Pet owners at risk of being ripped off by private equity firms as vet ownership rules changeThe Guardian · 11h ago
- Anthropic Is Chasing a $2T Valuation — A Wall Street Veteran Says Its Biggest IPO Risk Isn't What Investors ThinkYahoo Finance · 1d ago
- The Memo: GOP sees risks in Trump’s midterm strategy of focusing on himselfThe Hill · 1d ago
- Trump Backlash Adds New Risks to the Stocks the Government OwnsYahoo Finance · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the #2 song in the US for 2…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Other outcomes in #2 US Spotify Song 2026
- Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
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- Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
- Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
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