Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.2¢
- Implied chance
- 0.2%
- Return if right
- 49900.0%
- Spread cost
- 25%
If you put in $100
You get 50000.0 shares at 0.2¢ each.
YES wins: $50000.00 back, a profit of $49900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $66566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande0.1%
- Man I Need – Olivia Dean70.5%
- Earrings – Malcom Todd17.0%
- Billie Jean – Michael Jackson0.3%
- Risk It All – Bruno Mars0.3%
Latest: Aug 30, 06:34 PM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ariana Grande Blasts Trump Administration for Using ‘We Can’t Be Friends’ in Social Post: ‘Your Truth Is False’Variety · 10d ago
- Ariana Grande Granted Expedited Subpoena in Lawsuit Over Leaked MusicThe Hollywood Reporter · 11d ago
- Ariana Grande Granted Permission to Issue Expedited Subpoenas to Reveal Hacker IdentitiesVariety · 11d ago
- Madonna Leads VMAs Nominations With 11, Followed by Taylor Swift, Sabrina Carpenter, Ariana GrandeVariety · 12d ago
- Ariana Grande Brings Out ‘Wicked’ Co-Star Cynthia Erivo for ‘For Good’ and ‘Get Happy/Happy Days Are Here Again’ at London ConcertVariety · 14d ago
- Ariana Grande Debuts at No. 1 on Album Chart With ‘Petal,’ Earning Her Best First-Week Numbers in Seven YearsVariety · 21d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the #2 …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song in the US of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release who their #2 song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Other outcomes in #2 US Spotify Song 2026
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