Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 34.0¢
- Implied chance
- 34.0%
- Return if right
- 194.1%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.
YES wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $23.34 of that profit. Without it you would make $217.46.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 71.0¢
- Implied chance
- 71.0%
- Return if right
- 40.8%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 140.8 shares at 71.0¢ each.
NO wins: $140.85 back, a profit of $40.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.14 of that profit. Without it you would make $45.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 12, 12:52 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Republican survives primary on Tim Walz's old congressional turf as Dems eye seat flipFox News · 1h ago
- Little wins Democratic primary for open Craig seat as Republicans eye flip in MinnesotaThe Hill · 1h ago
- 5 Things to Know About Tom Tiffany, Republican Gubernatorial Candidate in WisconsinThe New York Times · 2h ago
- 5 Things to Know About Michele Tafoya, Republican Senate Candidate in MinnesotaThe New York Times · 2h ago
- Darline Graham to face Ralph Norman in South Carolina Republican primary runoffThe Guardian · 3h ago
- Darline Graham Advances to the Republican Senate Runoff in South CarolinaThe New York Times · 3h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor electi…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.