Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 73.0¢
- Implied chance
- 73.0%
- Return if right
- 37.0%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.
YES wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $37.93.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 28.0¢
- Implied chance
- 28.0%
- Return if right
- 257.1%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 357.1 shares at 28.0¢ each.
NO wins: $357.14 back, a profit of $257.14. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $263.64.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 26, 01:12 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Alaska finalizes Senate race: 3 Republicans, 2 Dan Sullivans and 1 DemocratNBC News · 24d ago
- Democrats aim to unite behind one candidate in Alaska governor's raceABC News · 25d ago
- Alaska Democrats back independent Bill Hill in statewide House raceThe Washington Post · 25d ago
- Democratic candidate suspends campaign for Alaska governorThe Hill · 28d ago
- Republican senator Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola advance in Alaska Senate primaryThe Guardian · 1mo ago
- Tom Begich, a Scion of Democratic Politics, Makes Runoff for Alaska GovernorThe New York Times · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor election…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.