Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations$909 liquidity$12k volumecloses 4.7mo
GeopoliticsPoliticsUNRewards 20, 4.5, 50
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

Create an account to follow this trade

We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
58.0¢
Implied chance
58.0%
Return if right
72.4%
Spread cost
2%

If you put in $100

You get 172.4 shares at 58.0¢ each.

YES wins: $172.41 back, a profit of $72.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $73.91.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

Create an account to follow this trade

We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
43.0¢
Implied chance
43.0%
Return if right
132.6%
Spread cost
2%

If you put in $100

You get 232.6 shares at 43.0¢ each.

NO wins: $232.56 back, a profit of $132.56. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $135.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%57%30%5%3%Aug 10Aug 11

Latest: Aug 11, 09:29 AM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the Un”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Create an account to follow markets

Star any market and we will email you when something happens to it.

Free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.