Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.2¢
- Implied chance
- 9.2%
- Return if right
- 987.0%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 1087.0 shares at 9.2¢ each.
YES wins: $1086.96 back, a profit of $986.96. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $103.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $1090.48.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.4¢
- Implied chance
- 92.4%
- Return if right
- 8.2%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 108.2 shares at 92.4¢ each.
NO wins: $108.23 back, a profit of $8.23. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.17.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 25, 03:35 PM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- The Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes look like their old selves, but now with new helpNBC News · 4d ago
- Patrick Mahomes and Kenneth Walker shine as Chiefs beat Colts 33-30 in OTNBC News · 5d ago
- Patrick Mahomes answers troubling questions about his serious knee injury on first drive of the Chiefs seasonFox News · 11d ago
- Father of Patrick Mahomes asks court to attend son's games amid probation for driving while intoxicatedFox News · 20d ago
- Patrick Mahomes injury recovery motivation was being able to walk before his daughterFox News · 21d ago
- Chiefs face critical 2026 season with Patrick Mahomes returning from ACL tearFox News · 26d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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