Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?

Q: Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?

Prediction markets currently price this at 9%. A YES share costs 8.9¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1023.6% over 5.2mo.

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner$21k liquidity$91k volumecloses 5.2mo

NFL (All)mvpfootballAwardsFootball Awards

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 8.9¢
Implied chance: 8.9%
Return if right: 1023.6%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 1123.6 shares at 8.9¢ each.

YES wins: $1123.60 back, a profit of $1023.60. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $175.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $1198.70.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 93.5¢
Implied chance: 93.5%
Return if right: 7.0%
Spread cost: 17%

If you put in $100

You get 107.0 shares at 93.5¢ each.

NO wins: $106.95 back, a profit of $6.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.34.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Sep 24, 03:04 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.