Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 72.0¢
- Implied chance
- 72.0%
- Return if right
- 38.9%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 138.9 shares at 72.0¢ each.
YES wins: $138.89 back, a profit of $38.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.97 of that profit. Without it you would make $39.86.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 29.0¢
- Implied chance
- 29.0%
- Return if right
- 244.8%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 344.8 shares at 29.0¢ each.
NO wins: $344.83 back, a profit of $244.83. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $250.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 04:14 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- David Ellison Is Promising Theater Owners Contractual Guarantees for Paramount-Warner Bros. 30-Film Annual Slate. But What if Moviegoers Don’t Care?Variety · 1d ago
- ‘Abbott Elementary’ Stars Sheryl Lee Ralph and Janelle James on the Paramount-Warner Bros. Merger: ‘We’ve Lost Too Many People’Variety · 2d ago
- Lionsgate CEO Wants to See Paramount-Warner Bros. Merger Close Soon: ‘Uncertainty and Delay’ Are ‘Not Good for Anybody’Variety · 3d ago
- Paramount concessions lead UK to approve takeover of Warner BrosThe Guardian · 4d ago
- Warner Bros. CEO Confident Paramount Deal Will CloseYahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Zaslav Admits Paramount-Warner Bros. Merger Saga Has Been ‘Challenging’ for Employees but Claims Work Ethic Is ‘Inspiring’Variety · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.