Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 97.6¢
- Implied chance
- 97.6%
- Return if right
- 2.5%
- Spread cost
- 24%
If you put in $100
You get 102.5 shares at 97.6¢ each.
YES wins: $102.46 back, a profit of $2.46. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 3.9¢
- Implied chance
- 3.9%
- Return if right
- 2464.1%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 2564.1 shares at 3.9¢ each.
NO wins: $2564.10 back, a profit of $2464.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $610.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $3074.60.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 03:04 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Paramount to Raise $7.5 Billion More in Debt to Fund Warner Bros. DealVariety · 7h ago
- Block the Merger Coalition Files Legal Request to Oppose Paramount-Warner Bros. DealVariety · 9h ago
- David Ellison Mulls Tapping Elon Musk for Paramount Investment While Closing in on Warner Bros. Takeover: ReportVariety · 1d ago
- Paramount plans $49 billion debt sale for Warner Bros. mergerYahoo Finance · 1d ago
- NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani Slams Paramount-Warner Bros. Merger: “Shameful Monument to Corruption”The Hollywood Reporter · 2d ago
- Paramount-Warner Bros. Settlement to Be Considered at Thursday Court HearingThe Hollywood Reporter · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.