Will Nizar Baraka be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.9¢
- Implied chance
- 0.9%
- Return if right
- 11011.1%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 11111.1 shares at 0.9¢ each.
YES wins: $11111.11 back, a profit of $11011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7070.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $18081.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 64%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.55.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Nizar Baraka0.5%
- Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri95.1%
- Driss Lachgar0.1%
- Mohamed Chaouki0.6%
- Abdessamad Archane0.1%
- Nabil Benabdallah0.1%
Latest: Oct 2, 03:08 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri named Morocco's first woman PMFrance 24 · 2d ago
- King appoints Morocco’s first female prime ministerAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Morocco’s pro-Palestine protests challenge Rabat’s deepening Israel tiesAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Morocco names first female prime minister after historic election victorySky News · 3d ago
- Morocco’s King Names a Female Prime Minister, in a Historic FirstThe New York Times · 3d ago
- Morocco: King appoints first woman prime ministerDeutsche Welle · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Nizar Baraka be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister (Head of Government) of Morocco, and whose government wins investiture from the House of Representatives in a vote of confidence, following the 2026 Moroccan legislative elections. To count for resolution, the government led by the individual must win investiture from the House of Representatives in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or non-invested Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)
- Will Mohamed Chaouki be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
- Will Mohamed Joudar be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
- Will Driss Lachgar be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
- Will Aziz Akhannouch be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
- Will Mohamed Ouzzine be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
- Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
- Will Mustapha Benali be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
- Will Nabil Benabdallah be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
- Will Abdessamad Archane be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?
- Will Abdelilah Benkirane be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?