Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?

Q: Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?

Prediction markets currently price this at 95%. A YES share costs 95.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 5.3% over 9.9mo.

Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)$12k liquidity$18k volumecloses 9.9mo

WorldMoroccoPoliticsElectionsMain ElectionGlobal Elections

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 95.0¢
Implied chance: 95.0%
Return if right: 5.3%
Spread cost: 18%

If you put in $100

You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.

YES wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.38.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 7.0¢
Implied chance: 7.0%
Return if right: 1328.6%
Spread cost: 15%

If you put in $100

You get 1428.6 shares at 7.0¢ each.

NO wins: $1428.57 back, a profit of $1328.57. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $238.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $1566.67.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Oct 2, 03:08 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister (Head of Government) of Morocco, and whose government wins investiture from the House of Representatives in a vote of confidence, following the 2026 Moroccan legislative elections. To count for resolution, the government led by the individual must win investiture from the House of Representatives in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or non-invested Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Morocco; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.