Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 35.2¢
- Implied chance
- 35.2%
- Return if right
- 184.1%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 284.1 shares at 35.2¢ each.
YES wins: $284.09 back, a profit of $184.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $185.31.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 65.1¢
- Implied chance
- 65.1%
- Return if right
- 53.6%
- Spread cost
- 1%
If you put in $100
You get 153.6 shares at 65.1¢ each.
NO wins: $153.61 back, a profit of $53.61. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $53.96.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
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How this market resolves
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.