Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?$189k liquidity$1.6M volumecloses 1.1mo
Main ElectionIsrael ElectionPoliticsMiddle EastIsraelGeopolitics
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BUY YES

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Cost
0.1¢
Implied chance
0.1%
Return if right
99900.0%
Spread cost
n/a

If you put in $100

You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.

YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%0%52%30%3%Sep 17Sep 24

Latest: Sep 24, 06:23 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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