Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 77.0¢
- Implied chance
- 77.0%
- Return if right
- 29.9%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 129.9 shares at 77.0¢ each.
YES wins: $129.87 back, a profit of $29.87. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.85 of that profit. Without it you would make $30.72.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 24.0¢
- Implied chance
- 24.0%
- Return if right
- 316.7%
- Spread cost
- 3%
If you put in $100
You get 416.7 shares at 24.0¢ each.
NO wins: $416.67 back, a profit of $316.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $325.53.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 22, 04:55 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
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How this market resolves
A by-election for the Alberta provincial electoral district of Calgary-Shaw is currently scheduled to be held on September 14, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Alberta (https://www.elections.ab.ca/).