Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.0¢
- Implied chance
- 2.0%
- Return if right
- 4900.0%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 5000.0 shares at 2.0¢ each.
YES wins: $5000.00 back, a profit of $4900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3695.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $8595.65.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 74%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 7, 05:21 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ‘Michael’ Sequel to Get $31 Million in California Tax CreditsVariety · 3h ago
- Michael Douglas reveals he made five phone calls to five women the day he chose Catherine Zeta-JonesFox News · 7h ago
- Michael Douglas admits he almost left his wife for his 'Basic Instinct' co-star after affairFox News · 21h ago
- This Michael Kors crossbody is 52% off on Amazon for October Prime Day — just $80Fox News · 22h ago
- ‘Spartacus’ Creator Steven S. DeKnight, Batman Exec Producer Michael E. Uslan Team for Oni Adventure Comic ‘Dr. Syn’ (Exclusive)The Hollywood Reporter · 1d ago
- Michael Douglas Memoir’s 7 Wildest Revelations: Secret Co-Star Affairs to Coke BingesThe Hollywood Reporter · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named movie is listed on the IMDb Top 250 Movies list by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie enters the IMDb Top 250 Movies list. The resolution source for this market will be IMDb (https://www.imdb.com/chart/top/). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".