Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Q: Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?

Prediction markets currently price this at 85%. A YES share costs 84.7¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 18.1% over 5.8mo.

Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?$2k liquidity$3k volumecloses 5.8mo

CultureMoviesThe Odyssey

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 84.7¢
Implied chance: 84.7%
Return if right: 18.1%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 118.1 shares at 84.7¢ each.

YES wins: $118.06 back, a profit of $18.06. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $19.05.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 16.7¢
Implied chance: 16.7%
Return if right: 498.8%
Spread cost: 5%

If you put in $100

You get 598.8 shares at 16.7¢ each.

NO wins: $598.80 back, a profit of $498.80. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $525.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Oct 7, 06:15 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named movie is listed on the IMDb Top 250 Movies list by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie enters the IMDb Top 250 Movies list. The resolution source for this market will be IMDb (https://www.imdb.com/chart/top/). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".