Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 12.0¢
- Implied chance
- 12.0%
- Return if right
- 733.3%
- Spread cost
- 27%
If you put in $100
You get 833.3 shares at 12.0¢ each.
YES wins: $833.33 back, a profit of $733.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $277.78 of that profit. Without it you would make $1011.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.0¢
- Implied chance
- 94.0%
- Return if right
- 6.4%
- Spread cost
- 35%
If you put in $100
You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.
NO wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.89.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Cook Political Report shifts Max Miller seat to toss-upThe Hill · 5h ago
- Deadline passes for embattled Republican Rep. Max Miller to drop off ballotABC News · 6h ago
- White House officials tamped down efforts to oust Max Miller in final daysPolitico · 7h ago
- Max Miller remains the GOP nominee in Ohio House raceThe Washington Post · 7h ago
- Max Miller locked in as Republican nominee after Ohio ballot deadline passes without withdrawalFox News · 1d ago
- GOP senator calls Max Miller allegations ‘deeply troubling’The Hill · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by September 30?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 OH-07 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 OH-07 Congressional campaign, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.