Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.0¢
- Implied chance
- 6.0%
- Return if right
- 1566.7%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 1666.7 shares at 6.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1666.67 back, a profit of $1566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $202.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $1769.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 95.3¢
- Implied chance
- 95.3%
- Return if right
- 4.9%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 104.9 shares at 95.3¢ each.
NO wins: $104.93 back, a profit of $4.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.65.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Max Miller to stay on Ohio ballots despite pressure to drop out of race after domestic abuse allegations – liveThe Guardian · 3h ago
- Max Miller locked in as Republican nominee after Ohio ballot deadline passes without withdrawalFox News · 21h ago
- GOP senator calls Max Miller allegations ‘deeply troubling’The Hill · 21h ago
- Sen. Jim Banks says Rep. Max Miller should drop his re-election bid if allegations are trueNBC News · 23h ago
- GOP Sen. Jim Banks says GOP Rep. Max Miller should resign if ‘allegations are true’: Full interviewNBC News · 1d ago
- Window closes for Ohio GOP to replace Rep. Max Miller on the ballotThe Washington Post · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 OH-07 Congressional election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 OH-07 Congressional campaign, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.