Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.0¢
- Implied chance
- 1.0%
- Return if right
- 9900.0%
- Spread cost
- 40%
If you put in $100
You get 10000.0 shares at 1.0¢ each.
YES wins: $10000.00 back, a profit of $9900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $16566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 67%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.60.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 01:27 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- An arts school where Epstein allegedly preyed on students reveals decades of abuseNPR · 4h ago
- Marco Rubio says millions of American jobs were destroyed for cheap goods — but Trump’s fix could crash your retirementYahoo Finance · 4d ago
- New Mexico attorney general explains why he's suing DOJ over Epstein filesCBS News · 5d ago
- New Mexico AG sues DOJ over Epstein files he says are needed for state probeABC News · 5d ago
- New Mexico sues US Justice Department for impeding Epstein probeAl Jazeera · 5d ago
- New Mexico suing DOJ, Blanche for access to unredacted Epstein records in Zorro Ranch investigationThe Hill · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to be the sender of the “I bea…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156 This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026". The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address. Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in "I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
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- Will Rand Paul be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
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- Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?