Will Donald Trump be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.6¢
- Implied chance
- 1.6%
- Return if right
- 6150.0%
- Spread cost
- 35%
If you put in $100
You get 6250.0 shares at 1.6¢ each.
YES wins: $6250.00 back, a profit of $6150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3273.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $9423.81.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.5¢
- Implied chance
- 99.5%
- Return if right
- 0.5%
- Spread cost
- 53%
If you put in $100
You get 100.5 shares at 99.5¢ each.
NO wins: $100.50 back, a profit of $0.50. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.06.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 06:36 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Donald Trump adds political stakes, anticipation and potential sideline chaos to Texas-Tennessee showdownFox News · 50m ago
- Donald Trump startled by the sound of a fighter jetFrance 24 · 9h ago
- Donald Trump welcomes China's Xi Jinping to Washington with a rare tarmac greeting at Joint Base Andrews. Follow live.Deutsche Welle · 21h ago
- Donald Trump welcomes Xi Jinping to Washington with a rare tarmac greeting at Joint Base Andrews. Follow live.Deutsche Welle · 21h ago
- Federal authorities investigating attorney, accountant linked to Epstein’s estate, source saysNBC News · 23h ago
- Republican senators push for probe into Donald Trump Jr. and Hunter BidenCBS News · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Donald Trump be confirmed to be the sender of the “I be…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156 This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026". The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address. Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in "I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
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- Will Rand Paul be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?
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- Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?