Will Donald Trump be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?

Q: Will Donald Trump be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 2%. A YES share costs 1.6¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 6150.0% over 4.7mo.

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?$9k liquidity$2k volumecloses 4.7mo

PoliticsrubioclintonEpsteinTrump

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 1.6¢
Implied chance: 1.6%
Return if right: 6150.0%
Spread cost: 28%

If you put in $100

You get 6250.0 shares at 1.6¢ each.

YES wins: $6250.00 back, a profit of $6150.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2445.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $8595.65.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.3¢
Implied chance: 99.3%
Return if right: 0.7%
Spread cost: 39%

If you put in $100

You get 100.7 shares at 99.3¢ each.

NO wins: $100.70 back, a profit of $0.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 11:49 AM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

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How this market resolves

On February 12, 2026, Rep. Ro Khanna posted a document on X that displays an email with the subject line "I beat Bush" addressed to Jeffrey Epstein, calling for the sender’s identity to be unredacted. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/reprokhanna/status/2022046192478327156 This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026". The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address. Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.