Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 20.7¢
- Implied chance
- 20.7%
- Return if right
- 383.1%
- Spread cost
- 0%
If you put in $100
You get 483.1 shares at 20.7¢ each.
YES wins: $483.09 back, a profit of $383.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.17 of that profit. Without it you would make $384.26.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 79.4¢
- Implied chance
- 79.4%
- Return if right
- 25.9%
- Spread cost
- 0%
If you put in $100
You get 125.9 shares at 79.4¢ each.
NO wins: $125.94 back, a profit of $25.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.08 of that profit. Without it you would make $26.02.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 09:04 PM9 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ‘WWE Main Event’ Moves From YouTube to Rumble, a Conservative Streaming Platform Backed by JD VanceThe Hollywood Reporter · 7h ago
- Republicans start making moves to challenge JD Vance for 2028 nominationThe Washington Post · 3d ago
- Ben Shapiro slams Bo French: JD Vance's family is Indian!The Hill · 3d ago
- What JD Vance's time at Yale says about his transformation from Trump critic to Trump VPCBS News · 7d ago
- JD Vance faces test in White House meeting with Israel-backing radio hostPolitico · 7d ago
- Iowa’s Republican Senate candidate not attending JD Vance eventThe Washington Post · 8d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Other outcomes in Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?