Will Ihtsham Haq win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.9¢
- Implied chance
- 4.9%
- Return if right
- 1940.8%
- Spread cost
- 40%
If you put in $100
You get 2040.8 shares at 4.9¢ each.
YES wins: $2040.82 back, a profit of $1940.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1292.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $3233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.9¢
- Implied chance
- 98.9%
- Return if right
- 1.1%
- Spread cost
- 64%
If you put in $100
You get 101.1 shares at 98.9¢ each.
NO wins: $101.11 back, a profit of $1.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.09.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 24, 09:26 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Cambridge professor's death after resignation sparking dangerous calls for media censorship, scholar warnsFox News · 3d ago
- Vigil held in central London for late Cambridge professor Jason ArdayAl Jazeera · 7d ago
- Cambridge University defends its mental health support for Jason ArdayThe Guardian · 8d ago
- UK PM Burnham reacts to death of former Cambridge professorAl Jazeera · 9d ago
- Jason Arday, Cambridge professor accused of plagiarism, is found deadNPR · 9d ago
- Jason Arday, ex-Cambridge professor, found dead weeks after plagiarism scandalCBS News · 9d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Ihtsham Haq win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Cambridge, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Cambridge, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Cambridge, Ontario.