Will Iga Swiatek advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 38.0¢
- Implied chance
- 38.0%
- Return if right
- 163.2%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.
YES wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $166.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 63.0¢
- Implied chance
- 63.0%
- Return if right
- 58.7%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.
NO wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $60.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Iga Swiatek37.5%
- Aryna Sabalenka50.5%
- Madison Keys10.5%
- Taylah Preston2.8%
- Jelena Ostapenko5.5%
- Ann Li3.5%
Latest: Aug 25, 11:44 PM4 further outcomes not shown
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Iga Swiatek advance to the Semifinals in Women's Single…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open per US Open rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals at the 2026 US Open (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 US Open is cancelled, postponed after September 27, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by the USTA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the USTA and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in US Open 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)
- Will Madison Keys advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Taylah Preston advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Jelena Ostapenko advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Ann Li advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Aryna Sabalenka advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Emma Navarro advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Sara Bejlek advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Elise Mertens advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Coco Gauff advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Marie Bouzkova advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Maria Sakkari advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Jasmine Paolini advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Anna Kalinskaya advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Anastasia Potapova advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Barbora Krejcikova advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Linda Noskova advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Leylah Fernandez advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Elena Rybakina advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Jessica Pegula advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- Will Belinda Bencic advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?