Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 13.3¢
- Implied chance
- 13.3%
- Return if right
- 651.9%
- Spread cost
- 32%
If you put in $100
You get 751.9 shares at 13.3¢ each.
YES wins: $751.88 back, a profit of $651.88. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $311.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $963.83.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.5¢
- Implied chance
- 94.5%
- Return if right
- 5.8%
- Spread cost
- 44%
If you put in $100
You get 105.8 shares at 94.5¢ each.
NO wins: $105.82 back, a profit of $5.82. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $10.38.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 11:17 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.