Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 7.0¢
- Implied chance
- 7.0%
- Return if right
- 1328.6%
- Spread cost
- 24%
If you put in $100
You get 1428.6 shares at 7.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1428.57 back, a profit of $1328.57. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $423.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $1751.85.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.2¢
- Implied chance
- 96.2%
- Return if right
- 4.0%
- Spread cost
- 31%
If you put in $100
You get 104.0 shares at 96.2¢ each.
NO wins: $103.95 back, a profit of $3.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Frank Chikane13.3%
- Helen Zille68.0%
- Lukhona Mnguni9.3%
- Loyiso Masuku7.4%
- Herman Mashaba8.0%
- Dada Morero7.8%
Latest: Sep 24, 10:28 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Nine women found dead near Johannesburg sends shockwaves through South AfricaFrance 24 · 4d ago
- 'Enough is enough': Women protest after string of murders near JohannesburgBBC News · 5d ago
- South African president vows justice as more women's bodies found near JohannesburgBBC News · 9d ago
- South Africa probes deaths of 7 women near JohannesburgDeutsche Welle · 9d ago
- South Africa now probing deaths of 8 women near JohannesburgDeutsche Welle · 9d ago
- Illegal mining ravages Johannesburg neighbourhoodsFrance 24 · 22d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
- Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
- Will Kenny Kunene be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
- Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
- Will Dada Morero be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
- Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
- Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
- Will Lukhona Mnguni be the next mayor of Johannesburg?