Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 42%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
YES wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.73.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 2.4¢
- Implied chance
- 2.4%
- Return if right
- 4066.7%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 4166.7 shares at 2.4¢ each.
NO wins: $4166.67 back, a profit of $4066.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1715.69 of that profit. Without it you would make $5782.35.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 08:26 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Florida woman loses arm in Silver River alligator attack as boater races to save her lifeFox News · 3h ago
- Florida attorney general threatens charges after Cunningham is fouled in WNBA gameThe Hill · 7h ago
- Florida House candidate calls out Carville: 'foolhardy to be exclusive' to democratic socialistsThe Hill · 23h ago
- Florida attorney general says state doing 'everything in our power to seek truth' amid Fauci probeThe Hill · 1d ago
- Florida AG James Uthmeier says Fauci probe could uncover grounds for criminal liability despite pardonFox News · 1d ago
- Florida man accused of killing nurse mom who helped him despite repeated arrests for threatening her: sheriffFox News · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
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