Will Ethereum hit $3k by March 31, 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 70.0¢
- Implied chance
- 70.0%
- Return if right
- 42.9%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 142.9 shares at 70.0¢ each.
YES wins: $142.86 back, a profit of $42.86. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $47.06.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 34.0¢
- Implied chance
- 34.0%
- Return if right
- 194.1%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.
NO wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $18.38 of that profit. Without it you would make $212.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- by March 31, 202769.0%
- by December 31, 202788.5%
- by September 30, 202782.0%
- by June 30, 202782.0%
- by December 31, 202656.5%
Latest: Oct 7, 04:10 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ethereum researcher Justin Drake calls for ‘bunker mode’ planning over private key recovery riskThe Block · 40m ago
- Bitmine's Relentless Ethereum Buying Is About to End, Tom Lee SaysDecrypt · 3h ago
- Pudgy Penguins’ Abstract becomes second Ethereum layer 2 to shut in a weekCoinDesk · 14h ago
- Pudgy Penguins' Ethereum Layer-2 Abstract Is Shutting DownDecrypt · 22h ago
- Pudgy Penguins-backed Ethereum L2 Abstract to shut down after losing ‘tens of millions’The Block · 22h ago
- Ethereum’s Glamsterdam upgrade launches on Sepolia testnetCointelegraph · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Ethereum hit $3k by March 31, 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $3,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.