Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 69.0¢
- Implied chance
- 69.0%
- Return if right
- 44.9%
- Spread cost
- 5%
If you put in $100
You get 144.9 shares at 69.0¢ each.
YES wins: $144.93 back, a profit of $44.93. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.13 of that profit. Without it you would make $47.06.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 33.0¢
- Implied chance
- 33.0%
- Return if right
- 203.0%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 303.0 shares at 33.0¢ each.
NO wins: $303.03 back, a profit of $203.03. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $9.47 of that profit. Without it you would make $212.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- by December 31, 202667.5%
- by December 31, 202788.5%
- by September 30, 202785.0%
- by June 30, 202784.0%
- by March 31, 202781.0%
Latest: Oct 6, 09:55 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ethereum’s Glamsterdam upgrade launches on Sepolia testnetCointelegraph · 4h ago
- EEZ tests atomic L1-to-L2 transaction in push to unify EthereumCointelegraph · 11h ago
- Ethereum’s Glamsterdam test gets last-minute fix before major capacity jumpCoinDesk · 14h ago
- SEC Clears 3x Leveraged Bitcoin and Ethereum Funds for TradingDecrypt · 1d ago
- Bitmine Buys $41M More Ethereum, Reaching 99% of Its 'Alchemy of 5%' TargetDecrypt · 1d ago
- Technicals signal bitcoin shift, Ethereum gears up for Glamsterdam: Crypto Week AheadCoinDesk · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $3,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.