Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 44.0¢
- Implied chance
- 44.0%
- Return if right
- 127.3%
- Spread cost
- 45%
If you put in $100
You get 227.3 shares at 44.0¢ each.
YES wins: $227.27 back, a profit of $127.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $106.06 of that profit. Without it you would make $233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 84.0¢
- Implied chance
- 84.0%
- Return if right
- 19.0%
- Spread cost
- 56%
If you put in $100
You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.
NO wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $23.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $42.86.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 10:14 AM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Donald Trump took secret flight out of Turkey over Iran threat, the Washington Post reportsFrance 24 · 1h ago
- Donald Trump signs order reducing recommended childhood vaccinesFrance 24 · 1h ago
- Donald Trump says replacing Gianni Infantino would be a ‘terrible mistake’Al Jazeera · 3h ago
- Bryson DeChambeau addresses Donald Trump meeting with Saudi PIF head at LIV Golf event: having 'conversations'Fox News · 15h ago
- Freddy’s Signs 3-Unit Deal in Eastern WyomingYahoo Finance · 17h ago
- JAPEX Doubles Down on U.S. Shale With $320 Million Colorado-Wyoming DealYahoo Finance · 19h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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