Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 81.0¢
- Implied chance
- 81.0%
- Return if right
- 23.5%
- Spread cost
- 77%
If you put in $100
You get 123.5 shares at 81.0¢ each.
YES wins: $123.46 back, a profit of $23.46. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $78.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $102.02.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 82.0¢
- Implied chance
- 82.0%
- Return if right
- 22.0%
- Spread cost
- 78%
If you put in $100
You get 122.0 shares at 82.0¢ each.
NO wins: $121.95 back, a profit of $21.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $76.07 of that profit. Without it you would make $98.02.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 25, 01:49 PM2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Trump Plans to Visit Tennessee, Oklahoma and AlabamaThe New York Times · 50m ago
- Donald Trump courts Xi Jinping during high-profile White House visitFrance 24 · 4h ago
- Trump eyes an October campaign rally — in AlabamaPolitico · 15h ago
- Donald Trump adds political stakes, anticipation and potential sideline chaos to Texas-Tennessee showdownFox News · 19h ago
- Donald Trump hosts Xi Jinping for state dinner with tech titans.Deutsche Welle · 1d ago
- Donald Trump hosts Xi Jinping for state dinner with tech titans. Follow live.Deutsche Welle · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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