Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026?

Q: Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 91%. A YES share costs 91.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 9.9% over 4.7mo.

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?$80 liquidity$5k volumecloses 4.7mo

PoliticsTrump

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 91.0¢
Implied chance: 91.0%
Return if right: 9.9%
Spread cost: 83%

If you put in $100

You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.

YES wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $48.84 of that profit. Without it you would make $58.73.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 65.0¢
Implied chance: 65.0%
Return if right: 53.8%
Spread cost: 68%

If you put in $100

You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.

NO wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $116.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $170.27.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 11, 10:17 AM3 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.