Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?
BUY NO
- Cost
- 0.7¢
- Implied chance
- 0.7%
- Return if right
- 14185.7%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 14285.7 shares at 0.7¢ each.
NO wins: $14285.71 back, a profit of $14185.71. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 09:18 AM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Donald Trump signs order reducing recommended childhood vaccinesFrance 24 · 14m ago
- Donald Trump says replacing Gianni Infantino would be a ‘terrible mistake’Al Jazeera · 2h ago
- Jackie, the famous California bald eagle, dies after weeks of intensive careBBC News · 11h ago
- California House candidate Connie Chan says opponent created a chatbot that mocked her accentCBS News · 11h ago
- Big Bear bald eagle Jackie has died, California veterinary center saysCBS News · 14h ago
- Bryson DeChambeau addresses Donald Trump meeting with Saudi PIF head at LIV Golf event: having 'conversations'Fox News · 14h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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