Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 46.0¢
- Implied chance
- 46.0%
- Return if right
- 117.4%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 217.4 shares at 46.0¢ each.
YES wins: $217.39 back, a profit of $117.39. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $124.72.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 57.0¢
- Implied chance
- 57.0%
- Return if right
- 75.4%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 175.4 shares at 57.0¢ each.
NO wins: $175.44 back, a profit of $75.44. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $80.18.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Dems sweep49.5%
- Dems TX & MI, Reps ME12.3%
- Dems TX, Reps MI & ME2.3%
- Reps TX, Dems MI & ME11.5%
- Dems TX & ME, Reps MI5.5%
- Reps TX & ME, Dems MI4.6%
Latest: Sep 24, 03:30 AM2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Democrat Senators flee or no-show Judiciary Committee hearing on protecting women's sportsFox News · 5h ago
- New polls show Democrats with edge in Senate, governor's races in TexasCBS News · 5h ago
- Republicans outspend Democrats on ads in key Senate racesCBS News · 5h ago
- Kansas Democrat begs Kamala Harris not to campaign with him, ‘Please do not come to my state’Fox News · 6h ago
- Democrats accuse Susan Collins of corruption after bombshell ‘pay-to-play’ reportThe Guardian · 6h ago
- Democrats again demand Trump’s drug-price contracts following Post reportThe Washington Post · 7h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate sea…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Michigan, and Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Other outcomes in Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine
- Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?
- Will Republicans win the Texas Senate seat, and Democrats win Michigan and Maine?
- Will Republicans win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Democrats win Michigan?
- Will Democrats win the Texas and Maine Senate seats, and Republicans win Michigan?
- Will Republicans win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine?
- Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?
- Will Democrats win the Texas Senate seat, and Republicans win Michigan and Maine?