Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 23.6¢
- Implied chance
- 23.6%
- Return if right
- 323.7%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 423.7 shares at 23.6¢ each.
YES wins: $423.73 back, a profit of $323.73. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $141.24 of that profit. Without it you would make $464.97.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 88.2¢
- Implied chance
- 88.2%
- Return if right
- 13.4%
- Spread cost
- 38%
If you put in $100
You get 113.4 shares at 88.2¢ each.
NO wins: $113.38 back, a profit of $13.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.13 of that profit. Without it you would make $21.51.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- David Sacks17.8%
- Pete Hegseth22.5%
- Kash Patel17.0%
- Howard Lutnick23.0%
- Susie Wiles19.0%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.15.5%
Latest: Sep 24, 08:51 PM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Extended interview: Trump AI adviser David Sacks on tech leaders' AI fearsCBS News · 10d ago
- David Sacks Urges AI Companies to Fund Trump Accounts, Says It Would 'Improve the Public’s Image of AI'Yahoo Finance · 21d ago
- David Sacks Calls AI Regulation a 'Trojan Horse' to Shut Down Open Models, While Chamath Palihapitiya Warns US Investment Could 'Go Off of a Cliff'Yahoo Finance · 1mo ago
- David Sacks Says the Biggest Risk to the AI Buildout Isn’t Demand, ‘If You Had Dark GPUs, That’d Be a Disaster for Everyone’Yahoo Finance · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
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