Will David Alton win the 2026 Kitchener mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.0¢
- Implied chance
- 5.0%
- Return if right
- 1900.0%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 2000.0 shares at 5.0¢ each.
YES wins: $2000.00 back, a profit of $1900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $222.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $2122.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.0¢
- Implied chance
- 96.0%
- Return if right
- 4.2%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.
NO wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- David Alton5.0%
- Berry Vrbanovic89.0%
- Wazhma Frogh5.5%
- Cindy Ward3.0%
- Manikantan Nair2.9%
- George Trihenea1.8%
Latest: Aug 24, 11:22 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Baker busts common sourdough myth that keeps busy Americans out of the kitchenFox News · 13h ago
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- Western allies slam Israel for ending World Central Kitchen strike probeAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- Australian anger as Israel drops World Central Kitchen deaths caseAl Jazeera · 5d ago
- This robot vacuum solves my kitchen stool problemThe Verge · 5d ago
- ‘Kitchen Confidential’ Returns to Bestseller Lists Following Anthony Bourdain BiopicVariety · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will David Alton win the 2026 Kitchener mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The 2026 Kitchener, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kitchener, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Kitchener, Ontario.